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Minsheng Securities: The six key signals of the economic work conference. According to the macro team research report of Minsheng Securities, the economic work conference gave "from point to face" answers to the questions raised by the Politburo meeting. Therefore, in order to grasp the main economic line next year, we think the following six signals are very critical: First, face up to external and internal problems and risks more frankly. Second, directly "winning numbers" raised the deficit, which is rarely seen in history. Third, the importance and determination to boost consumption are unprecedented. Fourth, monetary policy focuses on continuity and strength, and completes the cooperation with finance. Fifth, stabilize the property market and the stock market, and make clear that the bottom may be the most important at present. Sixth, the new idea of the supply side-rectifying the "involution".Market News: The European Central Bank is prepared to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the next two meetings.French President Mark Long will announce the new prime minister on the morning of 13th. On the evening of 12th local time, French President Macron returned to Paris after his visit to Poland, and said that he would announce the new prime minister on the morning of 13th local time. Macron accepted the resignation of former Prime Minister Michel Banier on December 5th, and the government of Banier became the government with the shortest term in the Fifth Republic of France.

The Israeli army said that it destroyed more than 90% of Syria's surface-to-air missiles. On the 12th, the Israel Defense Forces issued a statement saying that it had "seriously damaged" Syria's air defense system and destroyed more than 90% of the identified surface-to-air missiles. The statement said that in recent weeks, the Israel Defense Forces have been conducting a comprehensive assessment of the situation in Syria. The Israeli Air Force has formulated a "comprehensive strike plan" aimed at destroying Syria's powerful military capabilities in the face of escalating regional tensions. In the past few days, hundreds of Israeli air force fighters and other aircraft launched coordinated strikes, which dealt a major blow to Syria's "most strategic weapon system."Market news: OpenAI announced on Thursday that it is launching a new function that allows users to share the real-time video of mobile phone screen and mobile phone in the advanced voice mode of ChatGPT mobile application. This way, users don't have to upload photos or describe the surrounding environment in chat.The concept of bean curd set off the tide of research institutions to "break through" the threshold of listed companies, and the theme of artificial intelligence (AI) was once again hot in A shares. This time, bean bag concept stocks have become the "most beautiful" in the market after Kimi concept stocks and Zhipu concept stocks. With the warming of the market, the related listed companies with the concept of bean curd have also been "stepped through the threshold" by institutions. Recently, many Tik Tok bean bag concept stocks such as Zhongke Lanxun, Lexin Technology, Zhongke Chuangda and Haitian Ruisheng have been investigated by hundreds of institutions. (Securities Times)

2 trillion yuan of special refinancing bonds will be issued next week. According to China Bond Information Network, Beijing plans to issue the eleventh batch of government bonds in Beijing in 2024 by tender on December 18th. By then, the task of issuing 2 trillion yuan of local government refinancing special bonds to "replace the hidden debts in stock" will be completed during the year. At present, 29 provinces have disclosed the issuance arrangement of special refinancing special bonds, while Guangdong Province and Shanghai did not participate in this round of hidden debt swap. (Securities Times)There is still a worry about the imbalance between supply and demand. There is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)The winning bid rate of US 30-year bonds is 4.535%, which is higher than the pre-issuance transaction rate. The US Treasury continued to issue US$ 22 billion of 30-year bonds, with a winning bid rate of 4.535%. The pre-issuance transaction rate was 4.523% when the tender closed at 1 pm new york time. The proportion of primary dealers was 14.4%, which was higher than the previous one. The proportion of direct bidders was reduced to 19.1%, and the proportion of indirect bidders was increased to 66.5%. The bid multiple is 2.39 times, which is lower than the average of 2.42 times in the past six renewal transactions.